The Democratic Alliance (DA) and Jacob Zuma’s newly formed Umkhonto Wesizwe (MK) party will dominate in Gauteng and KwaZulu Natal, respectively, in the upcoming elections, according to a new national survey of voters.
According to Daily Maverick, the Brenthurst Foundation survey found that the ANC’s support has fallen to 39%, making a coalition government highly likely after the general election on 29 May.
The biggest gainers were the DA, which rose to 27% from 23% in October, and Jacob Zuma’s MK party, which has 13% of the vote, making it the third-largest party, with the EFF falling from 17% in October to just 10%.
THREE PROVINCES AND THREE PARTIES
In Gauteng, the DA has risen to 32% (24% in October), and the ANC has fallen to 34% (down from 37% in October). The MPC coalition has 38% of the vote. A coalition government will run this province.
In KwaZulu-Natal, Zuma’s MK party is set to be the largest party, with 25% of the vote. The ANC (20%), DA (19%), and the IFP (19%) are running neck-and-neck. The aggregated vote for the MPC is 39%. A coalition government will run this province.
In the Western Cape, the DA retains a majority with 53% (down from 56% in October), while the ANC has risen sharply to 35% from 22% in October.
DA SCORES HIGHEST FOR FAVOURABILITY FOR PARTIES
The DA enjoyed the highest overall net favourability ranking for political parties (4%), with the ANC second (-4%). The least favorable was the FF+ (-31%), with the IFP and the EFF scoring -30%.
With 33% of the vote, the Multi-Party Charter (MPC) coalition (DA, IFP, ActionSA, ACDP, and FF+, among others) is just 6% behind the ANC.
Voters are unhappy with governance, with some 80% saying the country is “going in the wrong direction,” and the opposition-governed Western Cape and City of Cape Town ranked as the best-governed areas of SA by some margin.
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